
East Africa Fertiliser Market Study
Overview
Market analysis to inform fertilizer sector development in East Africa using green hydrogen technologies.
Research Objectives
Assess the structure, competitiveness, and performance of fertiliser markets across East Africa
Identify supply chain inefficiencies and factors driving high fertiliser prices for smallholder farmers
Examine the role of government policy, imports, and private sector actors in shaping fertiliser availability and affordability
Provide evidence-based recommendations for market reform and policy interventions to improve smallholder fertiliser access
Methodology
The study combined primary data collection through surveys of importers, distributors, agro-dealers, and smallholder farmers across Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania, and Rwanda with secondary analysis of import data, price records, and regulatory frameworks. Value chain costing analysis decomposed the components of the farm-gate fertiliser price. Stakeholder workshops validated findings and co-developed recommendations with government, private sector, and development partner representatives.
Key Findings
Fertiliser prices in East Africa are among the highest globally relative to crop output prices, driven by port inefficiencies, fragmented distribution networks, high financing costs, and limited competition at the import level. Government subsidy programmes showed mixed results, with poorly targeted subsidies often benefiting better-off farmers. Recommendations for regional procurement coordination, warehouse receipt financing for agro-dealers, and targeted subsidy reform were developed and shared with the Alliance for a Green Revolution in Africa (AGRA) and national governments.
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